Article

Cervical cancer elimination is not a given

Published on May 18, 2026 | 6 min read
A purple heart containing a stylized female reproductive system that is fractured down the middle. One hand reaches out to steady the pieces while another holds a trowel, symbolizing the urgent need for health system repair and cervical cancer elimination.

Cervical cancer elimination is not a given

The insights and quotes featured in this article were gathered through direct outreach conducted by the authors in April 2026 to highlight the diverse perspectives of survivors, advocates, and health leaders.

Cervical cancer is one of the most preventable cancers worldwide. We know its cause: Persistent infection with high-risk human papillomavirus (HPV), responsible for over 99% of cases. We also have the tools to stop it: HPV vaccination, high-performance tests for cervical screening, and treatment. Yet cervical cancer remains the fourth leading cause of cancer-related mortality among women globally, and the leading cause of cancer death in multiple countries across sub-Saharan Africa, with a similarly high incidence and mortality in parts of Southeast Asia and Latin America. 1,2

Recent data make this paradox impossible to ignore. Cervical cancer cases are projected to increase by more than 50% by 2050, surpassing one million new cases annually, with deaths rising by over 80% to approximately 630,000 each year.1 This widening gap between incidence and mortality is telling. It suggests that while cases may be identified, too many women are unable to access timely treatment. This is not a failure of innovation. It is a delivery failure driven by gaps in financing, health system readiness, and the inability to scale proven interventions for cervical cancer elimination. In some countries, the barrier is the lack of sustained domestic budgets to translate policy into implementation. In others, programs exist but struggle to scale due to constraints that impact laboratory capacity, the healthcare workforce, and patient care pathways.

From global commitment to uneven reality

In 2020, all 194 WHO Member States endorsed the Global Strategy to Accelerate the Elimination of Cervical Cancer, setting clear targets: Vaccinate 90% of girls, screen 70% of women at ages 35 and 45, and treat 90% of women with disease. On paper, the global commitment to cervical cancer elimination is unprecedented.3,4 In practice, progress remains uneven.

Global HPV vaccination coverage remains below target, although significant progress has been driven by partners such as Gavi, the Vaccine Alliance, in expanding access to low- and middle-income countries.5,6 Screening remains one of the weakest links in the elimination pathway. Around 36% of women have been screened at least once, and fewer than 10% have been screened with a high-performance test, the HPV-DNA test.7 Treatment capacity also lags. In many settings, pathology services remain limited, and radiotherapy remains unavailable or inaccessible, despite being essential for many women with invasive disease. The result is a widening gap between global ambition and country-level implementation.

As Heather White, Executive Director, TogetHER For Health, notes: “The WHO’s cervical cancer elimination strategy created a clear policy framework for countries to act. But systems have been slower to evolve to deliver what is needed at scale, from products and services to data and coordination. There remains a significant gap between what we know works and our ability to get these tools into the hands of those who need them most. Closing the gap is essential if elimination is to become a reality.”

This gap between policy commitment and delivery is at the core of the challenge. Without systems that can translate strategy into action, progress toward elimination will remain limited.

An overlooked reality: The women at risk today

Much of the global narrative has rightly focused on vaccinating adolescent girls. This is essential, but it is not sufficient. Evidence shows that elimination requires a combined approach: Vaccination of younger cohorts alongside systematic screening and treatment for adult women already at risk.8 Approximately 85% of new cases and 90% of deaths occur in women aged 40 and older.1 Vaccinating a 12-year-old girl today may prevent cancer decades from now. But it will not prevent the death of a 45-year-old woman tomorrow.

As Mercy Moses, a cervical cancer patient, shares: “I was 22 when I was diagnosed with stage 2B cervical cancer in 2023. Three years later, I am still struggling to access the full care I need. Surviving cancer is not just about the will to live; it is about access to treatment. The biggest barriers I have faced are affordability, availability, and access. The cost of care is high, services are limited, and health systems are stretched. These challenges make it difficult to continue treatment, even when you are willing to fight.

It takes courage to accept a cancer diagnosis, and even more to continue treatment. But without the resources to access care, that courage can quickly be exhausted. No one chooses to die when treatment should be possible.”

Her experience reflects a broader reality that for many women, the challenge is not whether solutions exist, but whether health systems are able to deliver them in time. Without a parallel focus on scaling screening and treatment, mortality will continue to rise even as vaccination coverage improves.

The defining challenge of cervical cancer elimination

As Tamika Felder, cervical cancer survivor and founder of the Cervivor movement, highlights, “The primary barrier isn’t just the absence of a clinic; it is the presence of a trust gap, shaped by stigma and systemic neglect. Even where screening services exist, medical mistrust and the shame associated with HPV keep many women from accessing care. To achieve elimination, we need to treat community trust as seriously as clinical capacity, and recognize survivors as trusted voices who can help turn services into action.”

Addressing inequity is therefore not only about expanding services, but also about building trust and ensuring that women are willing and able to access care.

Global averages obscure the true nature of the problem of cervical cancer elimination. Countries with medium Human Development Index (HDI) levels are projected to see the largest absolute increases in cervical cancer cases and deaths.1 These are health systems in transition, facing a dual burden of infectious and non-communicable diseases without a fully developed cancer control infrastructure. At the same time, low-HDI countries are expected to experience the largest relative increases, with some facing up to a 150% rise in mortality.1 The contrast is already visible today. Cervical Cancer incidence in Africa stands at approximately 26.4 per 100,000 women, compared to 6.4 per 100,000 in North America.1 The threshold for elimination is 4 per 100,000. But the divide is not only between countries; It exists within them.9 A country may show strong national progress while significant portions of its population remain excluded from screening and treatment. This is not simply a gap in access. It is a gap in system design, delivery, and prioritization.

Healthcare worker in a white coat holding a shield and staff, protecting women as they navigate through a dense thicket of purple thorns toward a red flower. This visualizes the defining challenge of cervical cancer elimination: overcoming systemic barriers and medical mistrust

Why governments should invest in cervical cancer prevention

Cervical cancer elimination is not simply a health priority. It is an economic imperative.  As Kim Simplis Barrow, First Lady of Belize (2008–2020), Cancer Survivor, and current President, Belize Cancer Society, notes:  “Governments act on cervical cancer when the data becomes undeniable. It is one of the most preventable cancers, yet it disproportionately affects women in their most productive years. Investing in prevention, early detection, and equitable access is both a public health responsibility and an economic necessity. Ultimately, it comes down to political will, recognizing that saving women’s lives strengthens families, communities, and national development.”

The gap between ambition and reality is not only technical. It is political and financial. Development assistance for health is declining, returning to levels not seen in over a decade, while countries face constrained fiscal space, rising debt, and competing priorities.10

The cost of inaction is substantial. In the UK alone, productivity losses from cancer-related mortality are estimated at £10.3 billion annually, reflecting the economic contribution lost due to premature deaths from cancer.11

Early detection is thus not just a health intervention, but an investment in economic sustainability. By failing to invest in screening and early diagnosis, health systems incur far greater costs through late-stage treatment and lost productivity.12 Evidence shows that improving how existing resources are used could significantly increase healthy life expectancy.13 This is a critical calculation. The cost of inaction is not only measured in lives lost, but in terms of economic impact. For every dollar invested in cervical cancer prevention and treatment, returns can be multiple times higher.14

From tools to delivery

The pathway to elimination is already defined. The tools exist. The targets are clear. What is missing is execution. Advances in diagnostic innovation continue to expand what is technically possible. But innovation alone will not close the gap. The primary barriers to elimination are not the absence of tools, but the systems required to deliver them effectively at scale. Limited laboratory capacity, workforce shortages, and complex patient pathways pose persistent challenges that result in loss to follow-up. At the same time, stigma and lack of awareness continue to prevent many women from accessing care. Countries making progress are not succeeding solely through technology. They are combining evidence-based tools with strong systems, public awareness, and coordinated delivery.

Cervical cancer elimination is a choice

Cervical cancer elimination is achievable. But it is not inevitable. Without a decisive shift from commitment to implementation, from pilot programs to scale, and from fragmented funding to sustainable systems, the projected rise in incidence and mortality will become a reality. The question is no longer whether cervical cancer can be eliminated. It is whether or not we are willing to do what it takes to get it done.

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The economic imperative of cervical cancer elimination: A call to action for healthcare leaders

Cervical cancer elimination is an economic imperative, with early detection and prevention yielding significant returns.

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Contributors

Sofiat Akinola headshot

Sofiat Akinola , MPH, MSc

Director, Health Policy & External Affairs at Roche Diagnostics
Sofiat Akinola is Director of Health Policy and External Affairs at Roche Diagnostics, where she leads global policy efforts to expand access to diagnostics for cervical cancer, women’s health, and the role of diagnostics in strengthening health systems. She previously served as Global Health Lead at the World Economic Forum and has worked on global public health strategy, health systems transformation and impact evaluation across NGOs and government sectors. Sofiat holds degrees from the University of Oxford, Tulane University, and McGill University.
Dr. Zainab Shinkafi-Bagudu

Dr. Zainab Shinkafi-Bagudu

Founder/CEO Medicaid Cancer, President elect of the Union for International Cancer Control (UICC)

Dr. Zainab Shinkafi-Bagudu is a pediatrician and public health advocate recognized for her leadership in immunization, cancer prevention, and health system reform in Nigeria and globally. A leading advocate for HPV prevention, Dr. Bagudu was instrumental in the introduction of the single-dose HPV vaccine in Nigeria in 2023. 

Currently the President elect of the Union for International Cancer Control (UICC)—and the first African to hold this position, Dr. Zainab also co-chairs Nigeria’s Cervical Cancer Elimination Task Force, serves on the Global Initiative Against HPV advisory board, is a steering committee member of the Coalition for HPV and Cervical Cancer (CHIC), and is a Global Ambassador of the World Ovarian Cancer Coalition.

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References

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  2. Africa Centres for Disease Control and Prevention. Accelerating the plan to eliminate cervical cancer in Africa by 2030: Implementation Roadmap [PDF; cited 2026 May 5]. Available from: https://www.iccp-portal.org/sites/default/files/2025-04/Accelerating-the-plan-to-eliminate-cervical-cancer-in-Africa-by-2030_Roadmap-2.pdf.

  3. Zhou L, et al. Global cervical cancer elimination: quantifying the status, progress, and gaps. BMC Med. 2025;23:67.

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  8. Commonwealth Secretariat. Strengthening the Pathway to Cervical Cancer Elimination [PDF; cited 2026 May 5]. Available from: https://comsec-web-static.s3.eu-west-1.amazonaws.com/s3fs-public/2025-01/strengthening-the-pathway-to-cervical-cancer-elimination.pdf.

  9. Adebamowo C, et al. Challenges and opportunities for global cervical cancer elimination: how can we build a model for other cancers? Am Soc Clin Oncol Educ Book. 2025;45(3):e473702.

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  11. Cancer Research UK. Health is wealth: tackling the cost of cancer to grow the economy [Internet; cited 2026 May 5]. Available from: https://news.cancerresearchuk.org/2025/06/27/health-is-wealth-tackling-the-cost-of-cancer-to-grow-the-economy/.

  12. Leeds Beckett University. Research highlights overlooked economic burden of cancer on patients and the UK economy [Internet; cited 2026 May 5]. Available from: https://www.leedsbeckett.ac.uk/news/2025/07/economic-burden-of-cancer-on-patients-and-uk-economy/.

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  14. World Health Organization. A cervical cancer-free future: First-ever global commitment to eliminate a cancer [Internet; cited 2026 May 5]. Available from: https://www.who.int/news/item/17-11-2020-a-cervical-cancer-free-future-first-ever-global-commitment-to-eliminate-a-cancer.